Tattalin Arziki na Latin Amurka da Caribbean zasu Girma 1.7% a cikin 2019, a cikin Yanayi na Markasashen Duniya da Babban Rashin Tabbatarwa yayi alama

A cikin rahoton tattalin arzikinta na karshe na shekarar, ayyukan ECLAC wanda yankin zai ƙare 2018 tare da haɓakar matsakaita na 1.2%.

Shekarar 2019 tana bayyana tsawon lokacin da rashin tabbas na tattalin arziƙin duniya, hanya mai nisa daga raguwa zai jaddada kuma zai iya tashi daga takamaiman ɓangarorin. wannan zai yi tasiri a bunkasar tattalin arzikin Latin na hadadden kasashe da Caribbean, wanda, a matsakaita, ana ganin yana fadada 1.7%, daidai da sabon tsinkayen da hukumar tattalin arzikin Latin Amurka da Caribbean ke fitarwa a wannan zamanin. ).

Regionalungiyar yanki ta Unitedasashe ta ba da sanarwar ƙarshen tarihinta na shekara, kimantawa na farko na Tattalin Arziki na Latin Amurka da Kasashen Caribbean 2018, a taron manema labarai da sakatariyar gwamnatinta, Alicia Bárcena ta jagoranta, a Santiago, Chile.

A mataki tare da rikodin, wuraren ƙasashen Latin na Amurka da Caribbean za su fuskanci rikice-rikicen tattalin arziƙin duniya a cikin shekaru masu zuwa, wanda ba a tsammanin ci gaban ƙasa da yawa, kowanne don ci gaban ƙasashen duniya da haɓaka tattalin arziki, tare tare da daukaka darajar kasuwannin tattalin arzikin duniya. A saman wannan, ana iya samun raunin tsarin canjin duniya, ya fusata ta hanyar tashin hankali tsakanin Amurka da China.

Hasashen bunkasar tattalin arziki ga Latin Amurka da Caribbean a cikin 2019 shine 1.7%, kaɗan ƙasa da abin da ECLAC ya ƙaddamar a ƙarshen Oktoba (1.8%), duk da cewa ƙididdigar ƙarshen watanni 12 (2018) ya canza zuwa kuma an gyara shi zuwa 1.2% (daga kashi 1.th%% a cikin Oktoba).

Babban haɗari ga haɓakar kuɗaɗen wurin wurin a cikin tafiyar kamar yadda 2019 ke ci gaba da zama mummunan lalacewa tsakanin yanayin kuɗi don haɓakar tattalin arziki, fayil ɗin ya ƙara da cewa. har zuwa tsawon shekarar 2018, kasuwannin tashin, wadanda suka hada da Latin na Amurka, sun nuna ragi mai yawa a tafiyar kudaden waje, a lokaci guda kamar yadda yake a daidai lokacin da masu fada aji ke kara sauri kuma kudaden su suka fadi warwas zuwa dala. Rubutun ya nuna cewa sabon yanayin lalacewa a yanayin tattalin arziki na gaba ba za a iya ragi ba kuma tasirin tasirin kasashen duniya zai dogara ne da yadda aka gano su dangane da bukatun kudaden waje da bayanan su.

Alicia Bárcena ta ce "Ana buƙatar dokokin jama'a don inganta tushen ƙaruwa da ma'amala da yanayin rashin tabbas a duniya baki ɗaya." “Matsayi mai kyau na manufofin tattalin arziki a tsakanin yankin ta fuskar tallace-tallace da kashe kudade yana bukatar a karfafa shi. a kan wannan ma'anar, yana da mahimmanci don rage ƙauracewar haraji da ɓarna da ƙa'idodin tattalin arziƙi. akan lokaci daidai, haraji kai tsaye da kuma haɗin gwiwa masu dacewa da koren haraji suna buƙatar ƙarfafawa. A cikin jumloli na kudade, kan hanyar daidaitawa da karfafa kwarin gwiwa, ana bukatar a mayar da jarin jama'a gaba ga ayyukan da ke da tasiri kan ci gaba mai dorewa, tare da bayar da karfi ga kawancen jama'a da na sirri da kuma sake dawo da tasiri, sabbin fasahohi, da rashin kudi. Duk wannan yayin kare kudaden kashewa na zamantakewa, musamman a lokacin bata kudi, don kar a samu nakasu a koyaushe, ”in ji babban jami’in na Majalisar Dinkin Duniya. Bárcena ya kuma yi gargadin cewa ya kamata a kula da bayanan bashin jama'a a cikin halin rashin tabbas wanda zai iya kara farashinsu da jeri.

Kamar yadda yake a cikin shekarun da suka gabata, a cikin kimantawar farko na Tattalin Arzikin Latin da mu da Caribbean, ECLAC na ci gaba da haɓakawa tare da ƙaruwa iri-iri a tsakanin ƙasashen duniya da ƙananan hukumomin. Wannan ya nuna ba sauki mafi sauƙi na bambancin yanayin duniya game da kowane tsarin kuɗi, duk da haka ma tasirin abubuwan kashe kuɗi - musamman cin abinci da saka hannun jari - waɗanda ke bin halaye na musamman a tattalin arziƙin arewa da kudu.

A wannan yanayin, hasashen mil mil ne cewa shugaban Amurka (ban da Mexico) zai haɓaka 3.3% a cikin 2019, Kudancin Amurka 1.4% da Caribbean 2.1%. A cikin digiri na tsattsauran ra'ayi, tsibirin Dominica na tsibirin Dominica ana iya ganin babban ci gaban gida tare da faɗaɗa 9%, tare da taimakon Jamhuriyar Dominica (5.7%), Panama (5.6%), Antigua da Barbuda (4.7%) da Guyana ( 4,6%). Madadin ya wuce kima, Venezuela za ta sha kashi na 10% a tsarinta na kudi, Nicaragua 2% da Argentina 1.8%. Mafi girman tattalin arziƙin wurin, Brazil da Mexico, ana ganin girma 2% da biyu na 1%, bi da bi.

A cikin tsarin sa na zamani, 2018, rahoton ECLAC ya nuna cewa bunkasar tattalin arziki ya canza zuwa jagoranci ta hanyar buƙatar gida. saka hannun jari ya tabbatar da tasirin warkarwa, a lokaci guda yayin cin abincin mutum ya kasance babban kayan haɓaka, duk da cewa farashin haɓakar haɓaka ya daidaita idan kayi la'akari da wancan na huɗu na 2018.

A cikin jumloli na ɗaukar nauyin kasafin kuɗi, haɓakawa ya zurfafa a cikin 2018 kuma yanayin daidaiton kasafin kuɗi ya haifar da ragi tsakanin ragi na lamba (daga 0.7% na GDP a 2017 zuwa 0.6% na GDP a 2018), duk da cewa wannan ya kasance tare da hanyoyin na karamin karbo bashin jama'a.

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