Uqoqosho lweLatin America kunye neCaribbean luya kukhula nge-1.7% ngo-2019, kwi-International Scenario ephawulwe kukungaqiniseki okuKhulu.

Kwingxelo yayo yokugqibela yoqoqosho yonyaka, iiprojekthi ze-ECLAC ezithi lo mmandla uphelise u-2018 ngokukhula okuphakathi kwe-1.2%.

Unyaka wama-2019 ubonakala ngathi lixesha apho ukungaqiniseki kwezoqoqosho kwihlabathi liphela, indlela ende ukusuka ekunciphiseni iya kukhula kwaye inokuma ukusuka kwimida ethile. Oku kuyakuba nefuthe ekukhuleni koqoqosho lwesiLatin imanyano kunye neCaribbean, ethi, ngokomndilili, ibonakale isanda nge-1.7%, ngokuhambelana noqikelelo olutsha olukhutshwe kule mihla yikhomishini yezoqoqosho yeLatin America kunye neCaribbean (ECLAC ).

I-United States ishishini lommandla latyhila irekhodi lokuvala lonyaka, uvavanyo lokuqala loqoqosho lweLatin amazwe amanyeneyo kunye neCaribbean 2018, kwinkomfa noonondaba eyayikhokelwa ngunobhala kurhulumente wayo, u-Alicia Bárcena, eSantiago, eChile.

Ngokuhambelana nerekhodi, indawo zamanye amazwe zesiLatin iUSA kunye neCaribbean ziya kujongana nemeko enzima yemali kwilizwe liphela kwiminyaka ezayo, apho kulindeleke ukukhula okungathethekiyo kangako, iyileyo yeendawo eziguqukayo zamanye amazwe kunye noqoqosho olukhulayo, kunye ngoxinzelelo oluphezulu lweemarike zoqoqosho lwamanye amazwe. Ngaphezulu koku, kunokubakho ukuncipha kolwakhiwo lotshintsho lwehlabathi, olucatshukiswayo kukungavisisani phakathi kweMelika ne China.

Uqikelelo lokukhula koqoqosho lwesiLatin iMelika kunye neCaribbean ngowama-2019 yi-1.7%, kancinane nje kunoko i-ECLAC iphumeze okokugqibela ngo-Okthobha (1.8%), nanjengoko ingqikelelo yamanqam kwiinyanga ezili-12 (2018) itshintshiwe yacuthwa yaya kwi-1.2% (ukusuka kwi-1.three% uqikelelo ngo-Okthobha).

Owona mngcipheko mkhulu ekusebenzeni kwezezimali ngokubanzi kwindawo ekuqhubeni kangangoko i-2019 iqhubeka nokuba kukuwohloka ngesiquphe kwimeko yemali yoqoqosho olukhulayo, ifayile iyongeza. ixesha le-2018, ukunyuka kweemarike, ezibandakanya isiLatin i-United States, kubonise isaphulelo esikhulu kwimali yokungena yangaphandle, ngaxeshanye ngexesha elifanayo nelokuzimela kwamathuba emikhosi akhawulezayo kwaye iimali zabo zehla zedola. Isicatshulwa sicebisa ukuba iziqendu ezitsha zokuthotywa komgangatho kwiimeko zoqoqosho ezizayo azinakuphungulwa kwaye iziphumo zeendawo zamanye amazwe ziya kuxhomekeka ekubeni zityhilwe njani ngokweemfuno zabo zangaphandle zenkxaso-mali kunye neeprofayili.

"Imigaqo yoluntu iyafuneka ukuphucula imithombo yokwanda kunye nokujongana nemeko yokungaqiniseki kwinqanaba lehlabathi," utshilo u-Alicia Bárcena. “Indima edlamkileyo yomgaqo-nkqubo wezoqoqosho kule ndawo ngokubhekiselele kwintengiso kunye nenkcitho ifuna ukomelezwa. Ngale ndlela, kubalulekile ukunciphisa ukuthintela irhafu kunye nokubaleka kunye nokuhamba ngokungekho mthethweni kwezoqoqosho. Ngexesha elilinganayo, iirhafu ngqo kunye nokunxulumana komzimba kunye neerhafu eziluhlaza kufuneka ziqiniswe. Kumabinzana emirhumo, kwindlela yokuzinzisa kunye nokuqinisa ukonyuka, utyalo-mali loluntu kufuneka luphuculwe kwimisebenzi enefuthe kuphuhliso oluzinzileyo, kugxininiswa kubambiswano loluntu-noluntu kunye nokuguqula kwakhona okusebenzayo, ubuchwepheshe obutsha kunye nenkxaso-mali engenamava. Yonke le nto ngelixa ikhusela inkcitho kwezentlalo, ngakumbi ngamaxesha okuhla kwemali, ukuze ingahlali isokoliswa, ”yongeze watsho inyani. U-Bárcena ulumkise ngelithi iiprofayili zamatyala oluntu kufuneka zijongwe ngobunono bokungaqiniseki okunokunyusa amaxabiso kunye nobubanzi.

Njengakwiminyaka engaphambili, kuvavanyo lwayo lokuqala lwezoQoqosho lweLatin kuthi nakwiCaribbean, iiprojekthi ze-ECLAC zinamandla amakhulu ngokuqina phakathi kweendawo zamanye amazwe kunye nemimandla. Oku akubonakalisi lula kwezona zinto zahluliweyo kwimeko-bume yehlabathi kwinkqubo nganye yezemali, kodwa kunjalo nakwizinto ezisetyenziswayo kwicandelo lenkcitho - ngakumbi ukungenisa kunye notyalo mali - ebelandela iipatheni ezizodwa kuqoqosho lwasemantla nasezantsi.

Kule vein, kuqikelelwa iimayile ukuba inqununu i-USA (ngaphandle kwe-Mexico) iya kuphuhlisa i-3.3% ngo-2019, eMzantsi i-USA i-1.4% kunye ne-Caribbean 2.1%. Kwinqanaba le-rustic, isiqithi seCaribbean saseDominica sibonakala ngokukhula okukuko kwindawo ene-9% yokwanda, sikhatshwa yiRiphabhlikhi yaseDominican (5.7%), iPanama (5.6%), iAntigua kunye neBarbuda (4.7%) kunye neGuyana ( 4.6%). Ngokwahlukileyo kokungaphaya, iVenezuela iya kuva ubunzima nge-10% yokuncipha kwinkqubo yezemali, eNicaragua 2% naseArgentina 1.8%. Uqoqosho olukhulu kule ndawo, iBrazil neMexico, lubonakala ngathi lukhula nge-2% kunye ne-1% ngokwahlukeneyo.

Ekugcinweni kwayo kwale yr yanamhlanje, i-2018, ingxelo ye-ECLAC iphakamisa ukuba ukunyuka kwezoqoqosho kutshintshile kwakhokelela kwimfuno yekhaya. Utyalomali oluzinzileyo luqinisekisile amandla okuphilisa, ngaxeshanye nokutya okwahlukileyo kuyeyona nto iphambili yokuqina, nangona iindleko zokukhula zimodareyithwa xa ucinga ukuba ikota yesibini ye-2018.

Kumabinzana okugubungela imali, ukudityaniswa nzulu kwi-2018 kunye nendlela yohlengahlengiso lwezemali kubangele isaphulelo kwinani elinye lokusilela (ukusuka kwi-0.7% ye-GDP ngo-2017 ukuya kwi-0.6% ye-GDP ngo-2018), ngaphandle kwento yokuba oku kuhamba kunye neendlela yokunyuka okuncinci kwityala loluntu.

Funda kwakhona:

• Vula iakhawunti yebhanki engaselunxwemeni
• Iinkonzo zokubandakanya inkampani